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The Truth About Poverty

The Census Bureau just released their annual report on poverty, and Vox took a close look at the details, revealing information that may come as a surprise to many people.

Some people like to paint the poor as shiftless, lazy freeloaders, who refuse to work or otherwise make bad choices. But the numbers say otherwise. Of the people whose incomes fall below the poverty line, 68.6% are children (24.2%), elderly (27.7%), or disabled (15.7%). So the (super)majority of the poor are completely outside the job market (unless you are in favor of bringing back child labor).

An additional 19.2% are students (5.7%), caretakers (7%), or were involuntarily unemployed (e.g., laid off) for at least part of the year (6.5%). And another 4.9% are fully employed, but their wages are lower than the poverty level. That leaves just 5.4% in the “other” category. Why these last people are not earning a living is not specified, but even if nearly all of them are lazy freeloaders, that’s still just around 5% of the total poor, which corresponds to close to 1% of the US population.

The second interesting fact is that our “welfare state”, which is actually pretty weak compared to other industrialized nations, still manages to pull quite a few people out of poverty. Most successful is our Social Security program, which manages to reduce the poverty rate among the elderly from 43.7% to only 10%. Less effective are our programs for the disabled (blind, deaf, crippled, etc.) where government programs reduce their poverty rate from 49.9% to 30.7%. Even with government assistance, a third of all blind people live in poverty.

Increasing programs even a small amount can reduce our poverty rates even more. Canada – under a conservative government no less – recently expanded their benefits for children and saw a significant reduction in poverty.

So does this mean I’m advocating for a socialist welfare state, where everyone is guaranteed an income above the poverty line? Not at all. I think things can swing too far in the other direction. I lived in England during the 80s (the height of their dalliance with socialism), and I met people who had simply decided to leave their jobs and go on the dole, for no particular reason other than they didn’t feel like working for a while. But people like that are no reason to demonize the vast majority of the poor, who currently have no alternatives.

There is a reasonable middle ground. At the very least, we should be able to eradicate poverty among the elderly, children, and disabled populations – those people who are outside the labor market entirely. Having senior citizens, children, or seriously disabled people starving or homeless is obscene. Unemployment insurance should help people temporarily unemployed. The minimum wage should keep track of inflation, and I would eliminate the exemption for restaurant waitstaff. We should also have a discussion about financial aid for students, and assistance to help with care for the elderly and disabled (healthy people shouldn’t have to quit their jobs in order to care for an elderly parent or disabled child).

Then, after we establish a real working social safety net for these people – who are legitimately poor – then we can do something about any remaining freeloaders we keep hearing about.

So how do we pay for all this? There are plenty of ways. We could switch to a single-payer healthcare system. Every single-payer health insurance system in the world is less expensive than the current American health insurance system. Even with Obamacare saving us money while insuring more people, a single payer system would save us around $5 trillion.

Don’t like that? There are plenty of other ways to save money. Like reducing corporate welfare, the $217 billion we spend on subsidies and tax breaks to big corporations. Speaking of freeloaders, how about taxing inheritance fairly so we aren’t subsidizing lazy rich kids? Or avoid starting any new stupid wars, like the one in Iraq that cost us over $2 trillion and will cost an additional $4 trillion over the next four decades. And that’s not counting what it is costing us to fight terrorism (like the radical Islamist militants who were reinvigorated by the war in Iraq).

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Late Night Political Humor

“In an interview with CNN, former Vice President Dick Cheney said that he has no plans to endorse Donald Trump. When asked if he’d have a change of heart, Cheney was like, ‘Yes, every week’.” – Jimmy Fallon

“Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker says that he thinks only 12 states will decide the presidential election. And if Trump wins, those 12 states will include shock, confusion, outrage, despair, denial, anger, bargaining and finally acceptance.” – Jimmy Fallon

“While he was in Alaska, President Obama stopped at a cafe and bought out all of their cinnamon rolls for his staff. The staff was like, ‘Thanks, Obama’. And the guy behind him in line was like, ‘Yeah, thanks Obama’.” – Jimmy Fallon

“President Obama is taking over the White House’s official Instagram account this week to post pictures of his trip to Alaska. Or to put it another way, President Obama is now your annoying friend on vacation.” – Jimmy Fallon

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Bernie Sanders at Liberty University

Bernie Sanders appeared at the ultra-conservative Liberty University to give a speech and answer questions. Here, Sanders answers a question about abortion:

I love the fact that Sanders is not afraid to stand up for his convictions, nor does he mince words or play the politician and say what his audience wants to hear.

You can watch the full event here.

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Like His Brother, Again

Jeb Bush just released the details of his economic plan in the Wall Street Journal. He claims that his new plan will result in sustained economic growth of four percent or more. To give you an idea of how difficult that would be, no president since Lyndon Johnson has achieved that level of growth. Wow, how is he going to do that? What powerful economic voodoo has he come up with that will work such a miracle?

Well, you can probably guess it. It’s more tax cuts for the wealthy, the same thing his brother tried which led to the Great Recession economic meltdown. So in addition to thinking that his brother’s invasion of Iraq was a good idea, he thinks his brother’s economic policies are worth doubling down on. In addition to cutting the top tax bracket from 39.6% to 28%, he wants to eliminate inheritance taxes and the alternative minimum tax, and slash corporate taxes.

Clearly, some people can not learn from history.

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Late Night Political Humor

“The State Department just released another batch of Hillary’s e-mails from when she was Secretary of State. In the e-mails, Hillary asked an aide what time ‘The Good Wife’ was on, how to charge her iPad, and how to get wi-fi. Hillary sounds less like the Secretary of State and more like my mom at a hotel.” – Jimmy Fallon

“Obama was in Alaska today to raise awareness on climate change and while he was there, he taped an episode of ‘Running Wild With Bear Grylls’ where celebrities eat mice and squirrels and drink bodily fluids. In this one, the president teaches us how to survive alone in the wilderness surrounded by 15 secret service agents disguised as trees.” – Jimmy Kimmel

“NBC just announced that President Obama will appear on an episode of ‘Running Wild With Bear Grylls’ later this year. Yeah, I guess the episode features Obama roughing it on a golf course that hasn’t been mowed for a couple of days.” – Jimmy Fallon

“A lot of people are upset that our president is appearing on a reality show. A little over a year from now, we might have a president who hosted a reality show. So get used to it… You know, Donald Trump?” – Jimmy Kimmel

“Donald Trump is facing criticism for refusing to name his favorite Bible verse. In Trump’s defense, it’s hard to be a fan of the Bible when three out of the seven deadly sins helped him get to where he is today. ‘Pride, greed and wrath have served me very well.'” – Jimmy Fallon

“Trump was also asked if he preferred the New Testament or the Old Testament of the Bible and he responded, ‘Uh, probably equal.’ It’s a tough choice, because the Old Testament focuses on immigrants moving to a new country and the New Testament focuses on a guy who hates money.” – Jimmy Fallon

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Predictable Blowback

Tom Tomorrow
© Tom Tomorrow

If you nurture irrational hatred in a group of disgruntled people by lying to them, isn’t it inevitable that they will eventually turn on you?

Reagan held it at bay with his 11th Commandment “Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican“, but Trump is not reading from that script.

Of course, Saint Ronny famously abandoned it himself when he ran for president against Gerald Ford. But that just started the next GOP commandment, which in plain English might be “Believe in me because of what I say, not because of what I do.” And that just brings us back to this comic.

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Late Night Political Humor

“At the end of his speech, Kanye West announced that he’s running for president in 2020. He announced he’s running for president after smoking a bunch of weed. Then Obama was like, ‘Been there!'” – Jimmy Fallon

“According to a new poll, Hillary Clinton has lost a third of her supporters in Iowa since May. There’s still debate as to whether she lost them or just deleted them from her database.” – Jimmy Fallon

“Trump is doing pretty well in the polls right now, and he’s pretty confident. Which may be why he’s said he doesn’t plan on running campaign ads that attack the other candidates. When asked who the ads would attack instead, he said ‘Their mothers! It’s their fault those losers are here to begin with!'” – Jimmy Fallon

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Helen, Amen!

Helen Philpot (of Margaret and Helen) has a better grasp of religion that most of our presidential candidates:

Margaret, here is the thing about religion: Faith is a wonderful thing until it becomes certainty; at which point it becomes fanaticism. If there was only one true religion, fanaticism wouldn’t be all that bad. But there’s the rub, honey. Not only are there many different religions; there are many different versions of each religion. These days religious beliefs are like a backside. Everyone’s got one and often times they stink.

If you’re a Baptist, you probably shouldn’t work at a liquor store or a dance hall. If you’re a Catholic, you probably shouldn’t work at Planned Parenthood or any organization that thinks women should have a voice. And if you’re an idiot, you probably shouldn’t get yourself elected as a County Clerk in Kentucky.

My late husband was Catholic. I am a Methodist. I cooked and he did the dishes. Thank God we didn’t live in Kentucky because he would have starved and I would have had dishpan hands.

If we can’t all get along in the name of Jesus then can we get along? I don’t know, but imagine asking that question in the Middle East much less the middle of Eastern Kentucky. Of one thing I am certain: I’d rather live my life believing there is a God and finding out there isn’t, than believing there is no God only to find out there is. The problem is that some want to make a dialogue out of what is essentially a monologue. And some so badly want to have a conversation with God that often they decide to make up his part of that conversation as well.

My religious beliefs don’t have to affect your religious beliefs. In fact, you can even have no beliefs and we can still be friends and agree to live and let live. That, my friend, is what having faith really means. And I really do mean that. Really.

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Late Night Political Humor

“All the new polls indicate that Donald Trump is getting more popular every day. Apparently his inspiring riches to riches story is really resonating with everyday Americans.” – Jimmy Kimmel

“Right now members of the Republican National Committee are essentially the scientists in a movie realizing their creation has escaped from the lab.” – Jimmy Kimmel

“Even though Trump is on top, 54 percent of voters don’t believe he’s trustworthy or honest. If Donald Trump is dishonest, what’s he going to say when he starts being honest?” – Jimmy Kimmel

“They did a nationwide survey that found that when voters think of Donald Trump, the most common word that comes to mind is ‘Arrogant’. When the same voters think of Hillary Clinton, the most common word they use is ‘Liar.’ When they think of Jeb Bush, the first word that comes to mind is ‘Bush’. Voters don’t even care enough about Jeb Bush to come up with a word to describe him.” – Jimmy Kimmel

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Logical Conclusion

Dan Wasserman
© Dan Wasserman

There’s just one thing standing in the way of repairing our crumbling infrastructure, putting even more people back to work, and revving up the economy to new heights.

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Don’t use news media to understand the world

This is in Swedish, but there are English subtitles.

Hans Rosling points out what too many people seem to be completely unaware of – if you get your news from the media, you will have an extremely distorted view of the world. In a few cases this distortion is intentional (cough, Fox News) but even without malicious intent there is an implicit and overwhelming distortion in the news.

News, by definition, reports on events. Events like war, death, and disease. Things that catch your attention. Things that change slowly are not news (again by definition). Most people think the world is becoming worse, but by almost all measures (life expectancy, number of wars, violent death) the world has been and continues to improve dramatically. But that isn’t news, it is just facts.

Take one example, transportation. Every time there is an airplane crash it is all over the news, with photos and much wringing of hands by survivors and the relatives of casualties. But 1.3 million people die in car crashes every year (and an additional 20-50 million are injured or disabled). Do those make the news? Usually only if it is someone famous. As a result, far more people are afraid of flying than they are of driving. Even though flying is a hundred times safer than driving, and has been steadily getting safer over time.

I doubt that there is any deliberate conspiracy to make people more afraid of air travel (even at Fox News). However, airplane crashes are news, and car crashes are usually not. The result is the same.

Rosling’s point is that war and revolutions are news, but peaceful elections are not. Famine and disease are news, but steady improvements in living conditions are not.

Many Americans think the world is a scary and dangerous place. We are afraid of immigrants, calling them criminals and rapists. We go to war based on the flimsiest of excuses, against people and governments we are afraid of. We don’t trust Iran to honor the agreement to not develop nuclear weapons, because we think they are state sponsors of terrorism. When in reality our fear drives us to sponsor far more terror than Iran does.

Yes, we are surrounded by terrorism and terrorists, but much of it is self inflicted. We have met the enemy, and he is us.

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Late Night Political Humor

“Today is a special day. Today is women’s equality day. Donald Trump calls it ‘that time of the year again’.” – Conan O’Brien

“Donald Trump presided over a rally in Dubuc, Iowa, where he touted his strong skills as a negotiator and showed off his considerable skills as an impressionist. I don’t know if Donald Trump will make America great again but he has certainly made CNN great again.” – Jimmy Kimmel

“At a press conference yesterday, Donald Trump kicked out a Latino reporter but the man returned a few minutes later. Yeah, so already Trump’s deportation plan isn’t working.” – Conan O’Brien

“Donald Trump got into it with a well-respected Spanish language news anchor, Jorge Ramos from Univision, who made Donald upset when he tried to ask a question. ‘Go back to Univision,’ he said as he kicked him out of the place. He’s not even president yet and he’s already kicking Mexicans out.” – Jimmy Kimmel

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Market Value

Tom Tomorrow
© Tom Tomorrow

Shhhh! Don’t tell anyone. But the value of everything – stocks, your home, even the value of money – is completely arbitrary. How much anything is worth is based on what someone is willing to pay for it, which is controlled almost completely by emotions like fear and hope. It isn’t rational at all.

And as they say, what goes up must come down. And as long as bankers and realtors make lots of money from people buying and selling, then bubbles aren’t just some anomaly, they are a feature designed to take money out of your pocket and give it to Wall street.

If news about corporations, banks, and speculators buying up rights to fresh water doesn’t scare you, then you aren’t paying attention. Remember the oil crisis? You ain’t seen nothing yet! Think we fight too many wars for oil? What will happen when countries (or worse, corporations) start hoarding water?

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He’s Baaaack!

Stephen Colbert debuts as himself, hosting the Late Show, and talking about Trump and Oreo cookies:

You can watch the whole show on the CBS site.

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Trumping Trump

Salon has a good read titled “The shocking truth about Donald Trump: He’s actually the least terrifying GOP candidate“. Not only that, but this loud obnoxious buffoon actually has a chance of winning the GOP nomination for president, because in reality, his beliefs aren’t that different (and in fact are often more reasonable) than the rest of the rest of the pack of GOP candidates. The main difference between Trump and the other candidates is that he doesn’t speak in code words – he just says out loud what the other candidates are thinking, which is somehow appealing to the average Republican voter. He may say things that are intolerant and racist, but none of the rest of those jokers is willing to publicly disagree with his racist and xenophobic remarks.

Salon’s point is that Trump may be loud and obnoxious, but his opinions are actually more moderate than most Republicans. For example, when all the other GOP candidates were calling for Planned Parenthood to be defunded, Trump (correctly) pointed out that abortion services are a very small part of what they do. Jeb Bush, who is supposed to be the moderate candidate, claimed that Planned Parenthood is “not actually doing women’s health issues. They’re involved in something way different than that.” Which earned him a “Pants on Fire” from PolitiFact.

He is also the only GOP candidate who has talked about raising taxes on the rich. He also has opposed cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, previously supported universal healthcare, and opposed the war in Iraq.

And yet the Republican base loves him. Crazy, isn’t it? But has been shown over and over again, GOP voters don’t care about policy and governance. They care about bravado and bluster, something Trump has in spades.

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